- Trade topics
- Economic analysis
- Policy analysis
- Trade policy
Economic analysis
Economic analysis is undertaken by the Chief Economist team in DG Trade, and independent consultants with funding from the Commission. This analysis feeds into a better formulation of trade policy.
Global
The evolution of the world economy and its impacts on the EU.
| Publication Date | Title | Documents |
|---|---|---|
| May 2020 | The impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on global and EU trade | |
| April 2020 | The impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on global and EU trade | |
| December 2016 | Navigating non-tariff measures: Insights from a business survey in the European Union | |
| April 2016 | The expansion of the Information Technology Agreement: An economic assessment |
Bilateral and regional
| Publication Date | Title | Documents |
|---|---|---|
| July 2023 | The economic impact of the EU–Chile modernisation agreement | |
| March 2021 | Overview of EU-Canada trade performance under CETA | |
| February 2019 | The economic impact of the EU-Vietnam free trade agreement | |
| June 2018 | The economic impact of the EU-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) | |
| February 2017 | The economic impact of the EU-East African Community Economic Partnership Agreement | |
| September 2016 | Assessing the economic impact of the trade agreement between the European Union and Ecuador | |
| June 2016 | The economic impact of the SADC EPA Group-EU Economic Partnership Agreement | |
| March 2016 | The economic impact of the West Africa-EU Economic Partnership Agreement | |
| April 2015 | SMEs and the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership |
Chief Economist - Notes
| Publication Date | Title | Documents |
|---|---|---|
| December 2024 | Stay firm: Importer-exporter relations and the use of trade preferences | |
| October 2023 | Developing country resilience over past crises | |
| September 2023 | Evaluating trade policy: the practice of the European Commission | |
| September 2023 | Global trade fragmentation: an EU perspective | |
| July 2023 | Origin(al) rules and the use of trade preferences - The case of EU trade with Canada | |
| July 2023 | Developing countries' integration into the world economy | |
| March 2023 | CETA: Evolution of key economic indicators | |
| August 2022 (2) | The economic impact of sanctions and Russian countermeasures following the Russian invasion of Ukraine until the 5th EU sanctions package | |
| August 2022 (1) | Structured literature review and modelling suggestions on the impact of trade and trade policy on the environment and the climate | |
| June 2022 | Time to preference: Early preference uptake under CETA and the EU-Korea FTA | |
| May 2022 | Gender patterns of EU exports: jobs and wage differentials | |
| November 2021 | More important than ever: employment content of extra-EU exports | |
| September 2021 | The impact of Covid-19 on exports-related jobs | |
| June 2020 | Trade policy reflections beyond the Covid-19 outbreak | |
| May 2020 | The role of SMEs in extra-EU exports: Key performance indicators | |
| September 2019 | Female participation in EU exporting activities: Jobs and wages | |
| July 2019 | Reflections on the economic modelling of free trade agreements | |
| May 2019 | Trade for you too: Why is trade more important than you think? | |
| November 2018 | How important are EU exports for jobs in the EU? | |
| September 2018 | Government procurement: Data, trends and protectionist tendencies | |
| June 2018 | EU exports, preferences utilisation and duty savings by Member State, sector and partner country | |
| February 2018 | Consumer benefits from EU trade liberalisation: How much did we save since the Uruguay Round? | |
| July 2017 | Liberalising global trade in Mode 5 services: How much is it worth? | |
| June 2017 | Are EU exports gender-blind? Some key features of women participation in exporting activities in the EU | |
| May 2017 | Trade and labour adjustment in Europe: What role for the European Globalisation Adjustment Fund? | |
| March 2017 | Can we put a price on extending the scope of the GPA? First quantitative assessment | |
| November 2016 | Trade in services by GATS modes of supply: Statistical concepts and first EU estimates | |
| September 2016 | Trade effects of the EU-Korea free trade agreement: A comparative analysis of expected and observed outcomes | |
| February 2016 | EU exports to the world: Overview of effects on employment and income | |
| December 2015 | The economic impact of the Russian import ban: A CGE analysis | |
| July 2015 | The EU-Korea free trade agreement: Anticipation, trade policy uncertainty and impact | |
| April 2015 | International Procurement: From scant facts to hard data | |
| November 2014 | Towards 'Trade Policy Analysis 2.0' |
Modes of Supply
A joint DG TRADE-WTO project launched by the DG TRADE's Chief Economist Unit produced a global services trade dataset by all four Modes of Supply: fundamental elements of the GATS legal architecture.
Building on DG TRADE's earlier work with Eurostat and the Joint Research Centre, the dataset provides services exports and imports of 200 economies and 13 sectors by modes of supply from 2005 to 2017.