The year-ahead inflation expectations in the United States, as compiled by the University of Michigan, were revised slightly down to 2.8% in December 2024, from an earlier estimate of 2.9%, but above a near four-year low of 2.6% in November, according to final figures. In the meantime, the five-year outlook was also revised lower to 3% in December, compared to the preliminary reading of 3.1% and down from 3.2% in the prior month. source: University of Michigan

Michigan Inflation Expectations in the United States increased to 2.80 percent in December from 2.60 percent in November of 2024. Michigan Inflation Expectations in the United States averaged 3.58 percent from 1978 until 2024, reaching an all time high of 10.40 percent in January of 1980 and a record low of 0.40 percent in November of 2001. This page includes a chart with historical data for the United States Michigan Inflation Expectations. United States Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations - data, historical chart, forecasts and calendar of releases - was last updated on January of 2025.




Calendar GMT Reference Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2024-12-06 03:00 PM Michigan Inflation Expectations Prel Dec 2.9% 2.6% 2.7% 2.9%
2024-12-20 03:00 PM Michigan Inflation Expectations Final Dec 2.8% 2.6% 2.9% 2.9%
2025-01-10 03:00 PM Michigan Inflation Expectations Prel Jan 2.8% 3.0%


Related Last Previous Unit Reference
CPI 315.49 315.66 points Nov 2024
Core Consumer Prices 322.66 321.67 points Nov 2024
Core Inflation Rate YoY 3.30 3.30 percent Nov 2024
Core Inflation Rate MoM 0.30 0.30 percent Nov 2024
Core PCE Price Index 123.70 123.56 points Nov 2024
Core PCE Price Index YoY 2.80 2.80 percent Nov 2024
Core PCE Price Index MoM 0.10 0.30 percent Nov 2024
Core PCE Prices QoQ 2.20 2.80 percent Sep 2024
Core Producer Prices 144.93 144.61 points Nov 2024
Core PPI MoM 0.20 0.30 percent Nov 2024
Core PPI YoY 3.40 3.40 percent Nov 2024
CPI Core Core YoY 2.40 2.30 percent Nov 2024
CPI Housing Utilities 338.05 337.47 points Nov 2024
CPI Median 4.09 4.08 percent Oct 2024
CPI s.a 316.44 315.45 points Nov 2024
CPI Transportation 268.45 269.72 points Nov 2024
CPI Trimmed-Mean 3.22 3.20 percent Nov 2024
Energy Inflation -3.20 -4.90 Percent Nov 2024
Export Prices 148.70 148.70 points Nov 2024
Export Prices MoM 0.00 1.00 percent Nov 2024
Export Prices YoY 0.80 0.10 percent Nov 2024
Food Inflation 2.40 2.10 percent Nov 2024
GDP Price Index 125.51 124.94 points Sep 2024
Import Prices 141.20 141.00 points Nov 2024
Import Prices MoM 0.10 0.10 percent Nov 2024
Import Prices YoY 1.30 0.60 percent Nov 2024
Consumer Inflation Expectations 3.00 2.90 percent Nov 2024
Inflation Rate YoY 2.70 2.60 percent Nov 2024
Inflation Rate MoM 0.30 0.20 percent Nov 2024
Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations 3.00 3.20 percent Dec 2024
Michigan Inflation Expectations 2.80 2.60 percent Dec 2024
PCE Price Index 124.38 124.22 points Nov 2024
PCE Price Index YoY 2.40 2.30 percent Nov 2024
PCE Price Index MoM 0.10 0.20 percent Nov 2024
PCE Prices QoQ 1.50 2.50 percent Sep 2024
PPI Ex Food Energy and Trade Services 133.54 133.13 points Oct 2024
PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM 0.10 0.30 percent Nov 2024
PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY 3.50 3.50 percent Nov 2024
PPI MoM 0.40 0.30 percent Nov 2024
PPI 146.49 145.94 points Nov 2024
PPI YoY 3.00 2.60 percent Nov 2024
Rent Inflation 4.70 4.90 percent Nov 2024
Services Inflation 4.50 4.70 Percent Nov 2024

United States Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations
The Index of Consumer Expectations focuses on three areas: how consumers view prospects for their own financial situation, how they view prospects for the general economy over the near term, and their view of prospects for the economy over the long term. Each monthly survey contains approximately 50 core questions, each of which tracks a different aspect of consumer attitudes and expectations. The samples for the Surveys of Consumers are statistically designed to be representative of all American households, excluding those in Alaska and Hawaii. Each month, a minimum of 500 interviews are conducted by telephone.
Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
2.80 2.60 10.40 0.40 1978 - 2024 percent Monthly
1966Q1=100, NSA


News Stream
US Year-Ahead Inflation Expectations Revised Slightly Down
The year-ahead inflation expectations in the United States, as compiled by the University of Michigan, were revised slightly down to 2.8% in December 2024, from an earlier estimate of 2.9%, but above a near four-year low of 2.6% in November, according to final figures. In the meantime, the five-year outlook was also revised lower to 3% in December, compared to the preliminary reading of 3.1% and down from 3.2% in the prior month.
2024-12-20
US Year-Ahead Inflation Expectations Up to 5-Month High
The year-ahead inflation expectations in the United States inched up to 2.9% in December 2024, the highest in five months, from November's 2.6% and above market forecasts of 2.7%, according to the preliminary estimate from the University of Michigan Consumer Survey. Meanwhile, the five-year outlook eased to 3.1% in December, down from a one-year high of 3.2% in November and matching market estimates.
2024-12-06
US Year-Ahead Inflation Expectations Unrevised at 2.6%
The year-ahead inflation expectations in the United States, as compiled by the University of Michigan, eased to a near four-year low of 2.6% in November 2024, down from 2.7% in October and matching the preliminary estimate. In the meantime, the five-year outlook was revised slightly up to 3.2% in November, the highest in a year, compared to an earlier estimate of 3.1% and 3% in October.
2024-11-22