The Data Detective
Ten Easy Rules to Make Sense of Statistics
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Narrated by:
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Tim Harford
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By:
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Tim Harford
About this listen
From “one of the great (greatest?) contemporary popular writers on economics” (Tyler Cowen) comes a smart, lively, and encouraging rethinking of how to use statistics.
Today we think statistics are the enemy, numbers used to mislead and confuse us. That’s a mistake, Tim Harford says in The Data Detective. We shouldn’t be suspicious of statistics - we need to understand what they mean and how they can improve our lives: they are, at heart, human behavior seen through the prism of numbers and are often “the only way of grasping much of what is going on around us”. If we can toss aside our fears and learn to approach them clearly - understanding how our own preconceptions lead us astray - statistics can point to ways we can live better and work smarter.
As “perhaps the best popular economics writer in the world” (New Statesman), Tim Harford is an expert at taking complicated ideas and untangling them for millions of readers. In The Data Detective, he uses new research in science and psychology to set out ten strategies for using statistics to erase our biases and replace them with new ideas that use virtues like patience, curiosity, and good sense to better understand ourselves and the world. As a result, The Data Detective is a big-idea book about statistics and human behavior that is fresh, unexpected, and insightful.
©2021 Tim Harford (P)2021 Penguin AudioListeners also enjoyed...
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Critic reviews
"Lively, crystal-clear, and insightful explanations of how data are increasingly affecting our lives - a phenomenon that every educated person should understand.” (Steven Pinker, author of Rationality: What It Is, Why It Seems Scarce, Why It Matters)
“[Harford] expertly guides us through the many ways in which data can trick us.... Though numbers are at the core of The Data Detective, it’s emotion that wields...power, affecting not only how we respond to data but also how we absorb it in the first place.” (The Wall Street Journal)
“Harford is right to say that statistics can be used to illuminate the world with clarity and precision. They can help remedy our human fallibilities.” (The New Yorker)
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Spread through the public in the form of popular stories, ideas can go viral and move markets - whether it's the belief that tech stocks can only go up or that housing prices never fall. Whether true or false, stories like these - transmitted by word of mouth, by the news media, and increasingly by social media - drive the economy by driving our decisions about how and where to invest, how much to spend and save, and more. But despite the obvious importance of such stories, most economists have paid little attention to them. Narrative Economics sets out to change that.
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Such boring narration (returned)
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The Complacent Class
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Since Alexis de Tocqueville, restlessness has been accepted as a signature American trait. Our willingness to move, take risks, and adapt to change have produced a dynamic economy and a tradition of innovation from Ben Franklin to Steve Jobs. The problem, according to legendary blogger, economist, and best-selling author Tyler Cowen, is that Americans today have broken from this tradition - we're working harder than ever to avoid change.
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MUST READ
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An Inconvenient Book
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The world is a mess. It seems that everywhere listeners turn, there's another problem. What is needed now are solutions. If only there was a man who could simplify things, cut through the rhetoric, and fix everything. Then, if he was just able to put all of that insight into something that people could buy...in a store and online...man, that would great. Wait a minute!
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Waste of Time and Money
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The Great Mental Models
- General Thinking Concepts
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The Great Mental Models: General Thinking Concepts is the first book in The Great Mental Models series designed to upgrade your thinking with the best, most useful and powerful tools so you always have the right one on hand. This volume details nine of the most versatile all-purpose mental models you can use right away to improve your decision making, your productivity, and how clearly you see the world.
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A dissapointing debut
- By Peter on 04-14-19
By: Shane Parrish
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Outnumbered
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Our increasing reliance on technology and the Internet has opened a window for mathematicians and data researchers to gaze through into our lives. Using the data they are constantly collecting about where we travel, where we shop, what we buy, what interests us, they can begin to predict our daily habits, and increasingly we are relinquishing our decision making to algorithms - are we giving up this up too easily?
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A good reality check for "Cambridge Hyperbolitica"
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The Power of Bad
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Why are we devastated by a word of criticism even when it’s mixed with lavish praise? Because our brains are wired to focus on the bad. This negativity effect explains things great and small: why countries blunder into disastrous wars, why couples divorce, why people flub job interviews, how schools fail students, why football coaches stupidly punt on fourth down. All day long, the power of bad governs people’s moods, drives marketing campaigns, and dominates news and politics.
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Another outstanding social psychology book!
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Presidential Takedown
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In January 2020, Donald Trump was on the fast track to an easy re-election. While his first two years had been stymied by House Speaker Paul Ryan, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, and the Democrats, his third year had been one of remarkable success. The United States had low unemployment and was making strides across the globe. The president's rallies were well-attended, and he was being projected to win four hundred electoral votes and about forty-five states. Then came COVID-19.
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Must listen!!
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To Save Everything, Click Here
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In the very near future, smart “technologies and big data” will allow us to make large-scale and sophisticated interventions in politics, culture, and everyday life. Technology will allow us to solve problems in highly original ways and create new incentives to get more people to do the right thing. But how will such “solutionism” affect our society, once deeply political, moral, and irresolvable dilemmas are recast as uncontroversial and easily manageable matters of technological efficiency?
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The about face shift in view I've been looking for
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The Book of Why
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- By: Judea Pearl, Dana Mackenzie
- Narrated by: Mel Foster
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"Correlation does not imply causation". This mantra has been invoked by scientists for decades and has led to a virtual prohibition on causal talk. But today, that taboo is dead. The causal revolution, sparked by Judea Pearl and his colleagues, has cut through a century of confusion and placed causality - the study of cause and effect - on a firm scientific basis.
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Great book! Not a great audiobook.
- By rrwright on 05-30-18
By: Judea Pearl, and others
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Virus of the Mind
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- Length: 4 hrs and 36 mins
- Abridged
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Performance
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Virus of the Mind is the first popular work devoted to the science of memetics, a controversial new field that transcends psychology, biology, anthropology, and cognitive science. Memetics is the science of memes, the invisible but very real DNA of human society. Here, the author carefully builds on the work of scientists Richard Dawkins, Douglas Hofstadter, Daniel Dennett, and others who have become fascinated with memes and their potential impact on our lives.
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The "Memes Explain Everything" Meme.
- By Nelson Alexander on 02-20-10
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Mindwise
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- By: Nicholas Epley
- Narrated by: Nicholas Epley
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You are a mind reader, born with an extraordinary ability to understand what others think, feel, believe, want, and know. It's a sixth sense you use every day, in every personal and professional relationship you have. At its best, this ability allows you to achieve the most important goal in almost any life: connecting, deeply and intimately and honestly, to other human beings. At its worst, it is a source of misunderstanding and unnecessary conflict, leading to damaged relationships and broken dreams. How good are you at knowing the minds of others?
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Finally gave up - no real point
- By Thomas on 05-12-14
By: Nicholas Epley
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In this groundbreaking work, Tim Harford shows us a new and inspiring approach to solving the most pressing problems in our lives. Harford argues that today’s challenges simply cannot be tackled with ready-made solutions and expert opinions; the world has become far too unpredictable and profoundly complex. Instead, we must adapt. Deftly weaving together psychology, evolutionary biology, anthropology, physics, and economics, along with compelling stories of hard-won lessons learned in the field, Harford makes a passionate case for the importance of adaptive trial-and-error....
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Probably the Best Book on Statistics Ever Written
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What listeners say about The Data Detective
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- chetyarbrough.blog
- 04-03-23
BE CURIOUS
Tim Harford gives listeners a practical application of “Thinking Fast and Thinking Slow” in the art of statistical analysis. Sounds boring, just as the title “The Data Detective” but in this day of media overload Harford castes a warning. Be skeptical of conclusions drawn by statistical data, whether accumulated by business interests, science nerds, or algorithms. Think slow because thinking fast obscures understanding of statistical analysis. Above all, be curious when reading a statistical analysis that either adds or subtracts from your understanding. With that admonition, Harford offers ten ways to question the veracity and truthfulness of statistical analysis.
Harford concludes with an appeal to discordant interest groups to be curious about why they disagree with each other. Reputable statistical analysis can improve one’s belief in probable truth and decrease echo chamber‘ adherence of disparate interest groups.
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- cloudy
- 05-20-23
They should teach this in schools
This is a well organized and well reasoned book with great stories, simple yet powerful lessons, and told in an engaging way. I'm a big fan of Cautionary Tales, so going in I was well versed in Tim Harford's story telling style. He does not disappoint. At times, he seems to imply it is easy to find the truth if you just look, which I would take issue with. Today's world, both online and offline, is littered with detritus and you need some common sense, vigor, and genuine curiosity to sift through it all. Otherwise, stellar work Tim!
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- T. Powell
- 04-28-21
Great stories and examples for data interrogation
Explains the many things to consider when understanding data. Good explanations and examples to remember. There are so many , you may have to refer back to this book for time to time 🤔 . But the main theme is to be curious. 👌
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- Amazon Customer
- 10-05-21
Like it.
This world right now maybe misinformed or polarized, at least over-informed. How do you deal with it? This book offers an answer with a statistical view. A lot of historical stories in it. Even you have heard about them before, new details or perspectives will inspire you. Try yourself.
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- cachorro-urubu
- 01-21-22
well worth listening
Very informative and contemporaneous. Some of the stories are in Harford's podcast cautionary tales. Tim harford is an amazing storyteller.
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- Jesse Stell
- 08-21-24
Solid Introduction to Media Literacy
While the focus here is statistics, this is more a general guide to media literacy. it’s very basic but has some interesting studies mentioned. i was hoping for more discussion on data procurement and how people manipulate data or find issues in their data but i think a bit more research on my end would have shown that’s not the purpose of this. if your goal is to learn how to better read statistics and consume media with bias then this is an entertaining and quick look into that!
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- ian garrett finley
- 03-27-21
Stoke your curiosity!
Tim is a very good narrator. I loved the way this book made me stop and think about my own perceptions of the world.
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1 person found this helpful
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- Scott
- 09-22-21
Awesome
great listen! kept me entertained. good job switching between statistical theory and anecdotal stories. would recommend
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- Karen L Colombo
- 07-06-21
The Data Detective
I loved every moment. This is Cautionary Tales and more. Tim tells his stories in a very engaging way.
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- Tiffany
- 12-30-21
Meh
I struggled to get through this book and to stay interested. After loving books like Weapons of Math Destruction and Think Again, this book just didn't trigger my curiosity. I think it was because the author did not present anything novel, this is more a summary of other great books, but lacks the unique perspective of the investigator.
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